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Abstract
Over the past few years, the frequency and severity of forest fires throughout Southern Appalachia have been on the rise. This area, until recently, had experienced a prolonged period of relatively low wildfire activity. This leads one to scientific questions about what is driving the increase in activity. The climate of the study region has been fairly stable for several decades, but there could be a shift occurring, particularly related to precipitation frequency and intensity. This study is motivated by the notion that there is a relationship between consecutive dry days and fire frequency/magnitude. While drought has been a central focus, recent studies suggest that fuel load and consecutive dry days could be significant identifiers of an impending large-scale fire event. Using a climate division framework, we identify key co-relationships between precipitation and large-scale wildfire activity in the region.