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Abstract
Domestic blueberry producers have contended that rising imports has negatively impacted domestic prices and revenue. However, the United States International Trade Commission found no significant evidence of harm to the domestic industry. Unlike the investigation, this study specifically examines the impact of fresh blueberry imports and distinguishes them from frozen. Using a partial equilibrium model of trade and a range of price data, the study simulates a scenario where above-average import growth is reduced to get counterfactual level of imports. Results indicate that revenue loss has been increasing regardless of the type of price used. By estimating state-level monthly revenue changes, this study provides a more accurate understanding of the impact of fresh blueberry imports on the domestic industry.